10 predictions for the next decade

Well, it’s Thanksgiving. Which means it’s almost Christmas. Which means it’s almost New Years – and we all know what that means. Prediction blogs! We decided to beat the prediction rush and go ahead and post ours now. Here’s mine, and Gary has some too so check back for his soon.

Here’s what I predict for the next ten years:

1. Augmented reality will become as commonplace and useful as the internet became in the 90s, as consumers buy more smartphones and early experimenters find out what works and what doesn’t. Remember when the first few URLs started showing up in ads? We’re there now with augmented reality.

"I could really use a cold one! Anyone else down for the fresh taste of the Rockies?"

"I could really use a cold one! Anyone else down for the fresh taste of the Rockies?"

2. Brands will embrace the new emphasis on social interactions, sometimes to extremes – think robots you can hang out with in bars who casually suggest Miller at every opportunity.

3. 90s fashions will dominate. No, not those 90s. The other 90s.

4. We’ll finally get a space elevator. It’ll be made out of carbon nanotubes. It’ll be 100% privately funded.

5. Near the end of the decade, the whole “authenticity” thing will be played and we’ll want fake stuff again.

6. Nanotech will be used for evil. Also, good. Also, marketing.

MarsFace7. We’ll discover conclusive evidence of life on a another planet. It will be related to us.

8. There will be fewer, and less deadly wars, thanks in large part to communication between citizens via the internet.

9. Social games and gestural user interfaces will totally pwn traditional consoles and controllers, annoying some but finally making the industry “culturally relevant” via deep, meaningful interactions. Later in the decade, the cool kids will finally get into console games for the retro factor. Irony will win the day.

10. Social media, geotagging, augmented reality, security concerns and chronic over-sharing will join forces to completely destroy what little privacy we had left. Surprisingly few people will complain.

And to the last ten years: good riddance, I hope you burn in hell.

Happy Thanksgiving!


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  1. Posted December 17, 2009 at 06:29 | Permalink

    Keep posting stuff like this i really like it.

  2. Posted January 6, 2010 at 17:59 | Permalink

    My two cents,

    I think augmented reality in the form of 3D movies will grow in popularity giving rise to optical stores not only providing regular eye ware but custom fit 3D glasses.

    Also, I think Buddhism will rival Christianity and Islam particularly in North America.

  3. Posted January 6, 2010 at 18:03 | Permalink

    Me again,
    Sorry, I meant augmented movies in 3D will become so popular that custom fit 3D glasses will be available.

  4. john farmer
    Posted March 11, 2010 at 20:23 | Permalink

    The 3D thing will only last a few years before people just decide to go all out Virtual reality, like in Lawnmower man. Didn’t take off in the 90’s because the concept was ahead of the technology. Technology is ready now to ready to re-address this and people are more comfortable with technology.
    I think it would be amazing to get home in the evening and just wear the internet!
    Surprised this has escaped the future of the internet pundits. But you would only do this if you lived alone so perhaps it is a specialist market for enthusiasts.
    Laptops are gonna start looking old-fashioned

  5. john farmer
    Posted March 11, 2010 at 20:47 | Permalink

    almost forgot… by 2020 almost all learning beyond age 15 will be largely online. Education will be more about the information and skills than simply about studying certain things for a test.
    Online learning will be completely sub-mersive and such old fashioned terms like plagiarism will become obsolete.
    I would not be so brave to predict the future of conflicts in Palestine or Ireland or Taiwan. Nor to predict where they will lead us.
    The positive note however is that extremists at the top will be rationalised by the masses in the age when the internet gives the average person on the street a voice.
    China will have to concede to free and fair speech.
    China will dictate peace and security in the world.
    The Eurpean Union will be properly formed.
    The first five years of the EU will be very very turbulent, will seem like it will never happen, but it will because it is the right thing to do and spreads wealth.
    In 2020 Cars will be completely different.
    I’m guessing individualised transport.
    Flats will become much more common.
    Sorry this was a bit of a rant.

  6. Posted March 12, 2010 at 00:58 | Permalink

    Hmmmm. I’m betting cars will be basically the same. A little smaller and a lot more fuel efficient, but individualized transport is a long way off, and a lot of people won’t be buying new cars at all this decade. Heck, our SF-LA bullet train won’t even be half finished by 2020.

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  1. By Twitted by Pepamint83 on January 2, 2010 at 19:52

    […] This post was Twitted by Pepamint83 […]

  2. […] been thinking a lot about the future lately. Maybe because it’s a new decade. Maybe because we’re getting married.  Maybe […]

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